By Maria Snegovaya
March 16
Russian politicians often suggest that a post-Putin future would look like Syria’s: a bloody civil war. During his address to the United Nations in 2015, for example, Putin suggested that the export of so-called democratic revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa led to violence, poverty and social disaster. The power vacuum created “areas of anarchy,” as he put it, filled immediately with extremists and terrorists.
But a look at what we know about political transitions from social science suggests that Russia’s transition to democracy will not look like Syria’s bloody war. Let us explain why.
The …read more
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