Yuri Romanenko, “Hvilya”
The escalation of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, caught many by surprise. Therefore, there is plenty of conspiracy interpretations as to who benefits and what will follow. In our opinion, the escalation will stop quickly and for good reason.
To begin, consider the disposition of the major players in the region and their motivations in the conflict and around it.
Armenia is the weakest player and take up defensive positions. Yerevan seeks to keep what has and has a very limited resource base. At the same time Armenia is surrounded by Turkey and Azerbaijan, which are in the resource and militarily …read more