Section: Carnegie Moscow Center (Russia)
Donbas Businessmen: From Victims to Peace-Builders?
A well-established private sector makes the Donbas conflict different from the separatist conflicts of the early 1990s in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Union. Private business is a strong pro-peace force because lawlessness, a fragile security environment, and a shrinking population and its impoverishment can be crippling to business...
Antonov: The Unsung Victim of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Russia and Ukraine have discussed joint aircraft industry projects numerous times, but in the context of other problems, such as their gas disputes. The two sides brought more and more resources to the table, trying to get a better deal in the conflict. Antonov was just one of the tools used as a bargaining chip in gas price negotiations....
Russia and Ukraine: From Brothers to Neighbors
…read more Source: Carnegie Moscow Center
Donbas Diplomacy: Ukraine Bides Its Time
The Minsk agreements are not dead, nor is the conflict in Donbas frozen. Despite a recent diplomatic push, and given the lack of trust between Russia and the United States, and Ukraine’s resistance to the Minsk accords, the status quo is for the time being an acceptable option for all sides. Mired in the upcoming election cycle in 2019,...
Conflicting Realities in Russia and the EU’s Shared Neighborhood
Precisely because the conflict with Georgia now has a lower profile than Ukraine, the EU and Russia might start exploring ways to minimize the risk of confrontation and even test approaches for accommodation. Using the provisions of the Association Agreement and the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement signed with Georgia EU can underscore...
Ukraine at a Crossroads: Scenarios for the Reintegration of Donbas
The priority now is not only a ceasefire, but also the articulation of strong political incentives for the breakaway regions to finally begin disarmament and reintegration. This is first and foremost a task for the Ukrainian authorities, who will have to overcome the taboo and establish a legal framework for reintegration. | Русский …read...
Russia and the West’s South Caucasus Dilemma
Russia and the West have a choice in the South Caucasus. They can either treat the situation in Abkhazia and South Ossetia as being isolated from other conflicts-such as those in the Donbas and Transdniestria-or they can use it as an additional argument in their overall confrontation. | Русский …read more Source: Carnegie Moscow...
The Victory at Stake in the Russian-Belarusian War Games
Despite all the reputational risks posed by its war games with Russia, Minsk is trying to reap diplomatic benefits from them. The Belarusian military can show Western observers that Minsk’s guarantees can be trusted. On the other hand, it can convince Moscow that the country isn’t “going down the Ukrainian route,” because it...
The Accidental Formation of Russia’s War Coalition
The Ukraine war that broke out in 2014 became possible due to the governmentalizing of the Russian economy during the 2008 crisis. But these actions didn’t anticipate war. The manual control of the Russian economy formed to fight the crisis became an important component in fighting sanctions, and even in equipping the Donbas. But it was...
How the Sanctions Are Helping Putin
Having found itself in a lose-lose situation, the West will most probably do nothing-keeping sanctions in place and freezing the situation. The Kremlin will be happy. Russia won’t stop meddling in Ukraine or give up Crimea. …read more Source: Carnegie Moscow...
