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The 2016 NATO Summit in Warsaw was designed around the concept of strategic adaptation. The security environment in which the NATO allies operate has indeed experienced major transformations in recent years, some of which was caused by transatlantic partners themselves. The lessons learned from the recent strategic surprises and wake-up calls may be contradictory in nature. One lesson is that more humility is in order, as the strategic community can seldom pretend to be able to anticipate — and even less predict — forthcoming events and crises. At the same time, recent surprises have reaffirmed …read more