Both certain Belarusians and some Russian analysts are convinced that Vladimir Putin’s next target will be Belarus. They have their reasons, and these reasons are compelling: Taking Belarus would give Putin a victory he has not been able to achieve in Ukraine; a move of this sort would not generate a Western response of the kind that aggression against the Baltic countries would; and it would put the Kremlin in a position to exert additional pressure on Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic States.
The above scenario raises three questions: How likely is it that Putin would make such a decision? How …read more
Source: The Jamestown Foundation