Section: Geopolitical Futures (USA)
Watch List Findings: Aug. 19, 2017
What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant to keep this list manageable. We have findings for all the Watch List items. Should you be interested in findings not listed here, please contact us and we will...
What We Talk About When We Talk About North Korea
By Allison Fedirka “We don’t know” may seem like an unacceptable phrase for an organization such as ours. But it’s a phrase that’s uttered in our virtual hallways more than you might think. For us, it’s not so much a matter of always having the “right” answer but of having the correct model, based on the available...
Watch List: Aug. 15, 2017
The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our...
Iran and North Korea: Brothers in Nuclear Arms
Editor’s note: On Aug. 14, nearly two months after the original publication of this Deep Dive, reports surfaced that North Korea received Soviet-era technology from a facility in Ukraine that expedited the construction of its intercontinental ballistic missiles. As we determine the veracity of the reports, we republish our own assessment of...
When Neutrality Isn’t an Option
Originally produced on Aug. 7, 2017 for Mauldin Economics, LLC By George Friedman The new US sanctions against Russia overwhelmingly passed Congress. But in parts of Europe, they are far less popular. German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel last week called them “more than problematic.” In diplomatese, that means the Germans oppose them. The...
US Power: A Finite Resource
By Jacob L. Shapiro North Korea, China, Russia and Venezuela are all countries that pose very real but different kinds of problems for the United States. These countries have made headlines in the U.S. in recent days, and we will unpack them each separately. Collectively, they indicate that the U.S. has spread itself thin and has been unable to...
Watch List: Aug. 10, 2017
The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our...
Watch List: Aug. 9, 2017
The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our...
One Way Russia Can Retaliate Against US Sanctions
Originally produced on July 31, 2017 for Mauldin Economics, LLC By George Friedman, Xander Snyder and Ekaterina Zolotova The US Congress has passed new sanctions targeting Russia’s energy companies. Among the other notable aspects of the sanctions is that they take some authority away from the US president (who used to be able to implement...
Watch List Findings: Aug. 5, 2017
What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant to keep this list manageable. We have findings for all the Watch List items. Should you be interested in findings not listed here, please contact us and we will...
