Section: RAND (USA)
Unblocking the Black Sea for Ukrainian Grain
As Russia has been blockading ports around Odesa, Ukrainian grain exports in May were more than 60 percent lower than a year ago. Global hunger has hit a new high while 22 million tons of grain in Ukraine could rot if not exported soon. …read more Source::...
The Ukraine War’s Three Clocks
As the war in Ukraine creeps into its second month, perhaps the most common question is: How will it end? Ultimately, the answer comes down to three internal clocks—Ukraine’s, which is counting down in years, Russia’s, in months, and the United States and NATO’s, which is stalled at the moment but could restart quite quickly....
Helping Ukrainian Refugees, Truth Decay, Algorithmic Inequity: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on how to help Ukrainian refugees, cognitive biases and Truth Decay, tracking wastewater to understand the spread of COVID-19, and more. …read more Source::...
Putin’s Actions in Ukraine Are Spilling North
The decision of seven Arctic countries to suspend collaborative work with Russia in the Arctic is by far the most severe and consequential break in cooperation the region has ever seen. This breakdown of Arctic diplomacy could have several important impacts on the region and could potentially threaten the United States as well as its allies....
The Ukrainian Military Has Defied Expectations. Here Is How U.S. Security Aid Contributed
Ukraine’s military was unprepared and largely ineffective when Russia’s military seized Crimea in 2014. By 2022, Ukraine appears to have overcome at least some of the earlier challenges. Did U.S. security assistance make the Ukrainian military more effective? …read more Source::...
Even as War Rages, It’s Not Too Soon for U.S. Policymakers to Look Over Horizon
As Russia’s war in Ukraine grinds on and the humanitarian disaster deepens, Washington may be tempted to focus exclusively on punishing Putin. But that approach might well backfire. Over the long term, the United States wants stability and peace in and around Ukraine and to ensure that Moscow pays a cost for its aggression without making it...
The Art of Sitting on Bayonets
Russian President Vladimir Putin might have assumed that once conquered, Ukraine would be easy to hold. But there has been no lightning success, no defecting Ukrainian soldiers. If he can’t find collaborators, Putin’s chances of achieving even reduced ambitions in Ukraine may be dim indeed. …read more Source::...
How Can the United States Support Democracies in the Former USSR?
The West has only modest capacity to influence circumstances in most post-Soviet countries. In Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia and Moldova, however, the West has the potential to make a real difference by supporting civil society and improved governance. …read more Source::...
Book Review: Ukraine and the Art of Strategy by Lawrence Freedman
The crisis in Ukraine has proved a watershed moment for Russia’s relations with the West. In Ukraine and the Art of Strategy, Lawrence Freedman presents a brief history of the conflict and analyzes it in the context of strategic theory. …read more Source:...
No Russian Let-Up on Ukraine
Moscow’s seizure of Crimea and war in eastern Ukraine have led the West to sanction Russians and expand aid to Ukraine, and NATO to shift land and air forces eastward. Expanded Russian coercion may draw more NATO naval power closer to Russia’s shores and lead to tougher sanctions. …read more Source:...
