Section: The Jamestown Foundation (USA)
Russia’s June 2016 Snap Exercise: Same Old Story, but With a New Touch
Russian President Vladimir Putin initiated a country-wide snap exercise, on June 14, which lasted until June 22, though some units continued to hold maneuvers the following day (Mil.ru, June 14; RIA Novosti, June 23). Various elements of the exercise took place in all four Russian military districts—West, South, Central and East (see EDM, June...
Putin Bluffs on Challenging NATO
President Vladimir Putin has reacted cautiously and avoided outright triumphalism over the Brexit of the United Kingdom from the European Union, while much of his recent comments on the forthcoming presidential election in the United States also reflect an attitude of circumspection. Whereas, the visit of Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to the...
Ukraine Fears Political Consequences of Brexit Vote
While the global media is busy discussing mainly the economic consequences of the Brexit vote, Ukraine is wary of the political ones. On the one hand, the significance of the United Kingdom as an export market for Ukraine is quite small. And the ensuing turbulence in the debt markets stemming from the UK’s decision to leave the European...
Minsk Fears Moscow May Organize Hybrid War and Color Revolution in Belarus
Many governments in the post-Soviet space fear they may be threatened by a color revolution; others are worried that they will become victims of a hybrid war. But Belarus is worried about both at the same time, something that makes it difficult for Minsk to cope because the challenges posed by the one and those posed by the other are quite...
Implementing Reserve System an Uphill Battle for Russia
Russia carried out mysterious snap military exercises from June 14 to 22. Although they were publicized in the media, the number of participants as well as the units involved were not mentioned. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu had announced this snap inspection on the same day it began; the exercise was meant to “check the troops’...
Russia’s ‘Pivot’ to China Is Reduced to High-Level Bonhomie
Expectations regarding President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing on Saturday (June 25) had been rather subdued, and the modest results were mostly immaterial. Last year, the two leaders grandiosely celebrated their countries’ World War II victory over the Axis powers; and in 2014, they announced a great increase in economic ties and...
The Black Sea Region: NATO’s Exposed Sector on the Eastern Flank (Part Two)
*To read Part One, please click here. Newly entrenched on the Crimean peninsula, Russia has appropriated the title to large parts of Ukraine’s continental shelf and exclusive economic zone (EEZ). According to the treaty on Crimea’s accession to Russia (a constitutional act in Russia), “the demarcation of maritime spaces in the Black...
The Black Sea Region: NATO’s Exposed Sector on the Eastern Flank (Part One)
Aspirationally at least, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is transitioning from reassurance measures to a more serious deterrence posture on the Alliance’s “Eastern flank” vis-à-vis Russia. Decisions in this regard will be finalized down to the wire of NATO’s summit in Warsaw (July 8–9). The pre-summit debates, however,...
Drawing the ‘Cyber Curtain’: Will Russia Follow the Chinese Example?
RT-Inform, a firm owned by the Russian non-profit state corporation Rostec, announced, on June 9, the creation of a protected instant messenger (IM) application designed for use by Russian companies and state agencies (gosstruktury) (Rbc.ru, June 8). The financial details of this initiative are being kept secret, but Sergey Kravtsov (the owner of...
Russian First Guards Tank Army as an Instrument of Hybrid War Against Baltic States
The 1st Guards Tank Army was formed in the Soviet Union, during the Second World War, in 1943. It was disbanded in 1999, but re-established in 2015. As more details about this reborn heavy military unit come to light, worries increase about the threat it may specifically pose to the Baltic region. This past May, the military-focused news outlet...